Rewrite codex-maintenance.sh to scope CI checks to changed files

CI was running a full eval of every host + package on every push/PR,
which was slow enough to routinely time out the Gitea runner. Default
mode now diffs against a base ref and scopes nixpkgs-fmt/statix/eval to
the files that changed and the hosts/packages they can affect; a change
to flake.nix/flake.lock/variables.nix/modules/common/* (or any other
modules/*.nix outside platforms//build-types, whose blast radius isn't
inferable from the path) falls back to evaluating everything. The old
full sweep moves behind --full-check, which CI never passes; --dry-run
adds build-planning on top of whichever scope is active.

Also trims codex-setup.sh's redundant full host eval loop -- that's
what codex-maintenance.sh is for; setup should just install tooling.

CLAUDE.md

@@ -37,11 +37,22 @@ machines when deployed.
 # One-time environment bootstrap (installs Nix if missing, prints hosts)
 bash scripts/codex-setup.sh
 
-# Full validation: secret grep, nixpkgs-fmt --check, statix lint, eval all hosts
+# Changed-files-only validation: secret grep (whole repo), nixpkgs-fmt --check
+# and statix on changed *.nix files, eval of the hosts/packages those changes
+# can affect. This is what CI runs on every push/PR.
 bash scripts/codex-maintenance.sh
 
-# Same, plus a dry-run build (no result symlink) of every host's toplevel
-bash scripts/codex-maintenance.sh dry-run
+# Full sweep: nixpkgs-fmt --check/statix over the whole tree, eval every host
+# and package. Slow (minutes) -- CI never runs this; use it locally before a
+# release or after touching modules/common/*, flake.nix, or variables.nix for
+# extra confidence beyond the automatic full-fallback those paths already
+# trigger in the default mode (see below).
+bash scripts/codex-maintenance.sh --full-check
+
+# Either mode, plus a dry-run build (no result symlink) of every host/package
+# in whichever scope is active
+bash scripts/codex-maintenance.sh --dry-run
+bash scripts/codex-maintenance.sh --full-check --dry-run
 
 # List the hosts the flake currently exposes
 nix eval --json .#nixosConfigurations --apply builtins.attrNames | jq -r '.[]'
@@ -58,18 +69,28 @@ maintenance script pulls them via `nix run github:NixOS/nixpkgs/nixos-25.11#<too
 There is no test suite — "correctness" here means the flake evaluates and
 `nixpkgs-fmt`/`statix` are clean.
 
-**In an interactive agent session**, prefer targeted checks over full-repo
-sweeps: after editing one or two hosts/modules, evaluate just the
-`nixosConfigurations.<host>` you touched (plus any `config.system.build.tarball`
-/`diskoImagesScript`/package output affected) rather than looping over every
-host — `codex-maintenance.sh` evaluates every `nixosConfigurations` host plus
-every package/tarball/image variant and is slow to run after each small
-change. Reserve a full
-`codex-maintenance.sh` run for changes that plausibly affect every host
-(`modules/common/*`, `flake.nix`, `variables.nix`) or as a final check before
-committing. This is a session-workflow preference only — it does not apply to
-CI, which should keep running the full script on every push/PR regardless of
-diff size; that's the point of it.
+With no flags, `codex-maintenance.sh` diffs against a base ref (env
+`MAINT_BASE_SHA`, else the PR base SHA in CI, else `HEAD^` locally) and scopes
+fmt-check/statix to the changed `*.nix` files and eval to the hosts/packages
+those changes can affect — a `hosts/<name>/host.nix` edit only evals that
+host's targets, a `modules/platforms/<platform>.nix` edit only evals that
+platform's hosts, and so on. A change to `flake.nix`, `flake.lock`,
+`variables.nix`, `modules/common/*`, or any other `modules/*.nix` file outside
+`platforms/`/`build-types/` (whose blast radius isn't safely inferable from
+the path alone) falls back to evaluating every host and package, same as
+`--full-check` would, just without the whole-tree fmt/statix sweep. This
+exists because the whole-tree sweep is what was timing out CI; **CI always
+runs the plain, no-flag form and never passes `--full-check`.**
+
+The default mode's diff is against the working tree (uncommitted and staged
+edits included, not just committed ones), so it's already the right tool for
+an interactive session too: after editing one or two hosts/modules, plain
+`bash scripts/codex-maintenance.sh` naturally scopes to just what you
+touched. Reserve `--full-check` for changes that plausibly affect every host
+(`modules/common/*`, `flake.nix`, `variables.nix` — though the default mode
+already falls back to evaluating everything for those paths, `--full-check`
+additionally re-checks fmt/statix over the whole tree) or as a final check
+before committing.
 
 ## Scripts