Rewrite codex-maintenance.sh to scope CI checks to changed files

CI was running a full eval of every host + package on every push/PR,
which was slow enough to routinely time out the Gitea runner. Default
mode now diffs against a base ref and scopes nixpkgs-fmt/statix/eval to
the files that changed and the hosts/packages they can affect; a change
to flake.nix/flake.lock/variables.nix/modules/common/* (or any other
modules/*.nix outside platforms//build-types, whose blast radius isn't
inferable from the path) falls back to evaluating everything. The old
full sweep moves behind --full-check, which CI never passes; --dry-run
adds build-planning on top of whichever scope is active.

Also trims codex-setup.sh's redundant full host eval loop -- that's
what codex-maintenance.sh is for; setup should just install tooling.

.github/workflows/check-nixos.yml

@@ -13,9 +13,17 @@ jobs:
     steps:
       - name: Check out repository
         uses: actions/checkout@v4
+        with:
+          fetch-depth: 0
 
       - name: Install Nix
         uses: DeterminateSystems/nix-installer-action@v19
 
-      - name: Run maintenance checks (secrets, fmt, lint, eval)
+      # Scoped to files changed since the PR base / previous push -- see
+      # scripts/codex-maintenance.sh. CI never passes --full-check: that
+      # full sweep is for local/manual use, since it's slow enough to time
+      # out this runner.
+      - name: Run maintenance checks (secrets, fmt, lint, eval -- changed files only)
+        env:
+          MAINT_BASE_SHA: ${{ github.event.pull_request.base.sha || github.event.before }}
         run: bash scripts/codex-maintenance.sh